Welcome! My name is Emanuele Bevacqua. I work as a Postdoctoral Research Fellow at the University of Reading (UK). Trained as a Physicist at the University of Calabria (Italy) with a curriculum in Astrophysics and Geophysics, I earned my PhD in Physics/Climate Science at GEOMAR (Germany) and Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change, University of Graz (Austria).
I employ regional and global climate models to quantify and understand changes in weather extremes, with a focus on Compound events (CEs). CEs are major extreme impacts that result from the joint occurrence of underlying contributing events. Two typical examples of such events are (1) drought in conjunction with a heatwave and (2) compound flooding. This type of floods happens in coastal areas as a result of co-occurring heavy precipitation and storm surge, as for example happened in Texas during the hurricane Harvey in 2017.
We have studied changes in compound-long hot and dry conditions in Europe in the past decades. Recently, we have also investigated how the temperature associated with atmospheric patterns leading present-day hot days could evolve in the future. We have published a continental-scale assessment of the compound flooding potential in Science Advances. During my PhD, I developed a statistical model for representing and analysing compound events, with an in-depth application for compound flooding. Other research subjects I have worked on are modelling of compound meteorological and soil moisture droughts, multivariate statistical downscaling, and pair-copula constructions. Recently, I actively employed a regional climate model to study past and future changes in precipitation extremes based on the storyline approach.
Please, visit this page for a list of publications.
||I am co-organizing a workshop on compound events in Tirana (Albania) – November 2020. Contact me in you want to take part.
||A new review paper published in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment: “A typology of compound weather and climate events”.
||New paper accepted for publication in NHESS: “The role of using precipitation or river discharge data when assessing global coastal compound flooding”.
||New paper online: “Global projections of compound coastal meteorological extremes”.
||New paper accepted for publication in Environmental Research Letters: “Conditional and residual trends of singular hot days in Europe”
|2 Mar 2020
||Interview about the current anomalous stormy season in France and future changes in precipitation and storm surge extremes. French science magazine Sciences et Avenir.
|17 -21 Feb 2020
||Supervisor of a team project for master students at the University of Reading. We analysed “Present and future changes in tropical cyclone translation speeds”.
|2 Dec 2019
||New blog post on compound flooding and its future changes published in the meteorology blog of the University of Reading.
||2nd general assembly of the DAMOCLES COST action in Tallinn. We have a lot of exciting work planned for the coming months. Moreover, next year, I will become co-leader of Working Group 4, which focusses on statistical modelling of compound events.
|21 Oct – 1 Nov 2019
|| Some of my past and ongoing work on compound events will be presented next week in Nanjing in a summer school of the “Institute of Advanced Studies”, organized by the World Climate Research Program (WCRP).
||Many media have reported on our Science Advances work on present and future compound flooding in Europe, including the BBC. Unfortunately, many oversimplifications on our conclusions were done by some media, and sometimes the message was communicated wrongly. Please, read the full article for clear information on the topic.
|18 Sep 2019
||A new graphic of compound flooding has appeared today on the BBC. It was used to discuss our new paper on compound flooding.
|18 Sep 2019
||Paper on present and future compound flooding in Europe published in Science Advances.