Welcome! My name is Emanuele Bevacqua. I work as a Postdoctoral Research Fellow at the University of Reading (UK). Trained as a Physicist at the University of Calabria (Italy) with a curriculum in Astrophysics and Geophysics, I earned my PhD in Physics/Climate Science at GEOMAR (Germany) and Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change, University of Graz (Austria).
I employ regional and global climate models to quantify and understand changes in weather extremes, with a focus on Compound events (CEs). CEs are major extreme impacts that result from the joint occurrence of underlying contributing events. Two typical examples of such events are (1) drought in conjunction with a heatwave and (2) compound coastal flooding. This type of floods happens in coastal areas as a result of co-occurring heavy precipitation and storm surge, as for example happened in Texas during the hurricane Harvey in 2017.
Recently, I have studied the dynamics of precipitation extremes caused by consecutive extratropical cyclones in Europe in the present and future climate. I have widely studied compound coastal flooding at the local and large scales. For example, see our continental-scale assessment published in Science Advances. During my PhD, I developed a statistical model for representing and analysing compound events, which was useful to understand the dynamics of compound flooding. Together with colleagues, we have investigated the present and future dynamics of hot and dry conditions in Europe, including an assessment of how these conditions affect soil moisture drought. Other research interests include climate model evaluation, multivariate statistical downscaling, and pair-copula constructions. Recently, I employed a regional climate model to simulate past and future changes in precipitation extremes based on the storyline approach.
Please, visit this page for a complete list of publications.
||Workshop: “Bottom-up identification of key elements of compound events”. Organised by myself with the members of the DAMOCLES COST action.
||I presented our global analysis of compound flooding (preprint) within the Risk-KAN Webinar series. The talk will be uploaded here.
||New manuscript published Environmental Research Letters at 10.1088/1748-9326/abbde7. We analyse present and future precipitation extremes from cyclone clustering.
||A new review paper published in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment: “A typology of compound weather and climate events”.
||New paper accepted for publication in NHESS: “The role of using precipitation or river discharge data when assessing global coastal compound flooding”.
||New paper online: “Global projections of compound coastal meteorological extremes”.
||New paper accepted for publication in Environmental Research Letters: “Conditional and residual trends of singular hot days in Europe”
|2 Mar 2020
||Interview about the current anomalous stormy season in France and future changes in precipitation and storm surge extremes. French science magazine Sciences et Avenir.
|17 -21 Feb 2020
||Supervisor of a team project for master students at the University of Reading. We analysed “Present and future changes in tropical cyclone translation speeds”.
|2 Dec 2019
||New blog post on compound flooding and its future changes published in the meteorology blog of the University of Reading.
||2nd general assembly of the DAMOCLES COST action in Tallinn. We have a lot of exciting work planned for the coming months. Moreover, next year, I will become co-leader of Working Group 4, which focusses on statistical modelling of compound events.
|21 Oct – 1 Nov 2019
|| Some of my past and ongoing work on compound events will be presented next week in Nanjing in a summer school of the “Institute of Advanced Studies”, organized by the World Climate Research Program (WCRP).
||Many media have reported on our Science Advances work on present and future compound flooding in Europe, including the BBC. Unfortunately, many oversimplifications on our conclusions were done by some media, and sometimes the message was communicated wrongly. Please, read the full article for clear information on the topic.
|18 Sep 2019
||A new graphic of compound flooding has appeared today on the BBC. It was used to discuss our new paper on compound flooding.
|18 Sep 2019
||Paper on present and future compound flooding in Europe published in Science Advances.