Under Review/Submitted
Feng, S., Zscheischler, J., Hao, Z., and Bevacqua, E. (2024). “Growing human-induced climate change footprint in regional weekly fire extremes”. In review, https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-5380721/v1.
Bevacqua, E., Schleussner, C., and Zscheischler, J. (2024). “A year above 1.5°C signals the onset of a 20-year period exceeding the Paris Agreement limit”. Under review. Preprint: https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-4869407/v1
François, B., Teber K., Brett, L., Leeding, R., Gimeno-Sotelo, L., Domeisen, D. I. V., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., and Bevacqua, E. (2024). “Concurrent modes of climate variability linked to spatially compounding wind and precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere”. EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2079.
Lembo, V., Bordoni, S., Bevacqua, E., Domeisen, D. I. V., Franzke, C. L. E., Galfi, V. M., Garfinkel, C. I., Grams, C. M., Hochman, A., Jha, R., Kornhuber, K., Kwasniok, F., Lucarini, V.,, Messori, G., Pappert, D., Perez-Fernandez, I., Riboldi, J., Russo, E., Shaw, A. T., Strigunova, I., Strnad, F., Yiou, P., and Žagar, N. ( 2024). “Dynamics, statistics and predictability of Rossby waves, heatwaves and spatially compounding extreme events”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Preprint: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-24-0145.1/BAMS-D-24-0145.1.xml.
Feng, S., Zscheischler, J., Zengchao, H., Jägermeyr, J., Müller, C., and Bevacqua, E. (2023). “The correlation between crop production of major breadbaskets has little influence on extremely low global crop production in crop model simulations”. Under Review.
Published
2024
Li, J., Zhang, Y., Bevacqua, E., Zscheischler, J., Keenan, T., Lian, X., Zhou, S., Zhang, H., He, M., and Piao, S. (2024). “Future increase in compound hot-dry extremes exacerbated by vegetation greening”. Nature Communications, Accepted for publication.
Bevacqua, E., Rakovec, O., Schumacher, D. L., Kumar, R., Thober, S., Samaniego, L., Seneviratne, S. I., and Zscheischler, J. (2024). “Direct and lagged climate change effects intensified the 2022 European drought”. Nature Geoscience. DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01559-2.
Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., Alexander, L. V., King, A. D., Kew, S., Philip, S. Y., Barnes, C., Maraun, D., Stuart-Smith, R., Jézéquel, A., Bevacqua, E., Burgess, S., Fischer, E., Hegerl, G. C., Kimutai, J., Koren, G., Lawal, K. A., Min, S.-K., New, M., Odoulami, R. C., Patricola, C. M., Pinto, I., Ribes, A., Shaw, T. A., Thiery, W., Trewin, B., Vautard, R., Wehner, M., and Zscheischler, J. (2024). “Frontiers in attributing climate extremes and associated impacts”. Frontiers in Climate, 6, 1455023, DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1455023.
Jézéquel, A., Bastos, A., Faranda, D., Kimutai, J., Le Grix, N., Wilson, A. M., Rufat, S., Shepherd T. G., Stuart-Smith, T. F., Van Loon, A. F., Bevacqua, E., D’Andrea, F., Lehner, F., Lloyd, E. A., Moemken, J., Ramos, A.M., Sippel, S., and Zscheischler, J. (2024). “Broadening the scope of anthropogenic influence in extreme event attribution”. Environmental Research: Climate, 3, 042003, DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad7527.
Fang, B., Bevacqua, E., Rakovec, O., and Zscheischler, J. (2024). “An increase in the spatial extent of European floods over the last 70 years”. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 3755–3775, DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-3755-2024.
Banfi, F., Bevacqua, E., Rivoire, P., Oliveira, S. C., Pinto, J. G., Ramos, A. M., and De Michele, C. (2024). “Temporal clustering of precipitation for detection of potential landslides”. Natural Hazards Earth System Science, 24, 2689–2704, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-24-2689-2024.
Matte, D., Christensen, J. H., Drew, M., Soboloski, S., Paquin, D., Lynch, A., Bremer, S., Engholm, I., Brunet, N. D., Kolstad, E. W., Kettleborough, H., Thompson, V., Bevacqua, E., Heinrich, D., Pryor, S. C., Böhnisch, A., Feser, F., Prein, A. F., Fischer, E., and Leduc, M. (2024). “How to engage and adapt to unprecedented extremes”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105, 8, E1407–E1415, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0138.1.
Li, D., Zscheischler, J., Chen, Y., Yin, B., Feng, J., Freund, M., Qi, J., Zhu, Y., and Bevacqua, E. (2024). “Intensification and poleward shift of compound wind and precipitation extremes in a warmer climate”. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (11), e2024GL110135, DOI: 10.1029/2024GL110135.
Muheki, D., Deijns, A. A. A., Bevacqua, E., Messori, G., Zscheischler, J., and Thiery, W. (2024). “The perfect storm? Concurrent climate extremes in East Africa”, Earth System Dynamics, 15, 429–466, DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-429-2024.
Gimeno-Sotelo, L., Bevacqua, E., Fernández-Álvarez, J. C., Barriopedro, D., Zscheischler, J., Gimeno, L. (2024). “Projected changes in extreme daily precipitation linked to changes in precipitable water and vertical velocity in CMIP6 models”. Atmospheric Research, 107413, DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107413.
2023
Richards, J., Huser, R., Bevacqua, E., and Zscheischler, J. (2023). “Insights into the Drivers and Spatiotemporal Trends of Extreme Mediterranean Wildfires with Statistical Deep Learning”, Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, vol. 2, no. 4, DOI: 10.1175/AIES-D-22-0095.1.
Qian, C., Ye, Y., Bevacqua, E., and Zscheischler, J. (2023). “Human influences on spatially compounding flooding and heatwave events in China and future increasing risks”, Weather and Climate Extremes, 42, 100616, DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2023.100616.
Gimeno-Sotelo, L., Bevacqua, E., and Gimeno, L. (2023). “Combinations of drivers that most favor the occurrence of daily precipitation extremes”, Atmospheric Research, 106959, 0169-8095, DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106959.
Li, J., Bevacqua, E., Wang, Z. Sitch, S., Nabel, J., Arora, V., Arneth, A., Jain, A. K., Goll, D., Tian, H., and Zscheischler, J. (2023). “Hydroclimatic extremes contribute to asymmetric trends in ecosystem productivity loss”, Communications Earth & Environment volume 4, 197, DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-00869-4
Bevacqua, E., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Jezequel, A., Lehner, F., Vrac, M., Yiou, P., and Zscheischler, J. (2023). “Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations”, Nature Communications, 14, 2145, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37847-5.
Manning, C., Widmann, M., Maraun, D., van Loon, A. F., and Bevacqua, E. (2022). “Large spread in the representation of compound long-duration dry and hot spells over Europe in CMIP5”. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4, 309–329, DOI: 10.5194/wcd-4-309-2023.
2022
Jiang, S., Bevacqua, E., and Zscheischler, J. (2022). “River flooding mechanisms and their changes in Europe revealed by explainable machine learning”, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 26, 6339–6359, DOI: 10.5194/hess-26-6339-2022.
Li, D., Chen, Y., Messmer, M., Zhu, Y., Qi, J., Feng, J., Yin, B., and Bevacqua, E. (2022). “Compound wind and precipitation extremes across the Indo-Pacific: climatology, variability and drivers”. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL098594, DOI: 10.1029/2022GL098594.
Li, J., Bevacqua, E., Chen, C., Wang, Z., Chen, X., Myneni, R. B., Wu, X., Xu, C., Zhang, Z., and Zscheischler, J. (2022). “Regional asymmetry in the response of global vegetation growth to springtime compound climate events”. Communications Earth & Environment, 3, 123, DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00455-0.
Maraun, D., Knevels, R., Mishra, A. N., Truhetz, H., Bevacqua, E., Proske, H., Zappa, G., Brenning, A., Petschko, H., Schaffer, A., Leopold, P., and Puxley, L. (2022). “A severe landslide event in the Alpine foreland under possible future climate and land-use changes”. Communications Earth & Environment, 3, 87, DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00408-7.
Bevacqua, E., Zappa, G., Lehner, F., and Zscheischler, J. (2022). “Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot-dry events”. Nature Climate Change, 12, 350–355, DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01309-5.
Switanek, M., Maraun, D., and Bevacqua, E. (2022). “Stochastic downscaling of gridded precipitation to spatially coherent sub-grid precipitation fields using a transformed Gaussian model”. International Journal of Climatology, 42(12), 6126–6147, DOI: 10.1002/joc.7581.
2021
Bevacqua, E., De Michele, C., Manning, C., Couasnon, A., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Ramos, A. M., Vignotto, E., Bastos, A., Blesić, S., Durante, F., Hillier, J., Oliveira, S. C., Pinto, J. G., Ragno, E., Rivoire, P., Saunders, K., van der Wiel, K., Wu, W., Zhang, T., Zscheischler, J. (2021). “Guidelines for studying diverse types of compound weather and climate events”. Earth’s Future, 9, e2021EF002340, DOI: 10.1029/2021EF002340.
Villalobos-Herrera, R., Bevacqua, E., Ribeiro, A.F.S., Auld, G., Crocetti, L., Mircheva, B., Ha, M., Zscheischler, J., and De Michele, C. (2021). “Towards a compound-event-oriented climate model evaluation: a decomposition of the underlying biases in multivariate fire and heat stress hazards, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 21, 1867–1885, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-21-1867-2021.
Bevacqua, E., Shepherd, T.G., Watson, P.A.G., Sparrow, S., Wallom, D., and Mitchell, D. (2021). “Larger spatial footprint of wintertime total precipitation extremes in a warmer climate”. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL091990, DOI: 10.1029/2020GL091990.
Zappa, G., Bevacqua, E., and Shepherd, T. G. (2021). “Communicating potentially large but non‐robust changes in multi‐model projections of future climate”. International Journal of Climatology, 41, 3657–3669, DOI: 10.1002/joc.7041.
Messori, G., Bevacqua, E., Caballero, R., Coumou, D., De Luca, P., Faranda, F., Kornhuber, K., Martius, O., Pons, F., Raymond, C., Ye, K., Yiou, P., and Zscheischler, J. (2021). “Compound climate events and extremes in the mid-latitudes: dynamics, simulation and statistical characterisation”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102(4), E774-E781, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0289.1.
2020
Bevacqua, E., Vousdoukas, M. I., Zappa, G., Hodges, K., Shepherd, T. G., Maraun, D., Mentaschi, L., and Feyen, L. (2020). “More meteorological events that drive compound coastal flooding are projected under climate change”. Communications Earth & Environment, 1, 47, DOI: 10.1038/s43247-020-00044-z.
Bevacqua, E., Zappa, G., and Shepherd, T. G. (2020). “Shorter cyclone clusters modulate changes in European wintertime precipitation extremes”. Environmental Research Letters, 15, 124005, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abbde7.
Bevacqua, E., Vousdoukas, M. I., Shepherd, T. G., and Vrac, M. (2020). “Brief communication: The role of using precipitation or river discharge data when assessing global coastal compound flooding”. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20, 1765–1782, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-20-1765-2020.
Zscheischler, J., Martius, O., Westra, S., Bevacqua, E., Raymond, C., Horton, R., van den Hurk, B., AghaKouchak, A., Jézéquel, A., Mahecha, M. D., Maraun, D., Ramos, A. M., Ridder, N., Thiery, W., Vignotto, E. (2020). “A typology of compound weather and climate events”. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 1, 333–347, DOI: 10.1038/s43017-020-0060-z.
Jézéquel, A., Bevacqua, E., D’Andrea, F., Thao, S., Vautard, R., Vrac, M., Yiou, P. (2020) “Conditional and residual trends of singular hot days in Europe”. Environmental Research Letters, 15, 064018, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab76dd.
2019
Bevacqua, E., Maraun, D., Vousdoukas, M. I., Voukouvalas, E., Vrac, M., Mentaschi, L., and Widmann, M. (2019). “Higher probability of compound flooding from precipitation and storm surge in Europe under anthropogenic climate change”. Science Advances, 5(9), eaaw5531, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaw5531.
Manning, C., Widmann, M., Bevacqua, E., Van Loon, A. F., Maraun, D., and Vrac, M. (2019). “Increased probability of compound long-duration dry and hot events in Europe during summer (1950-2013)”. Environmental Research Letters, 14, 094006, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab23bf.
2018
Manning, C., Widmann, M., Bevacqua, E., Van Loon, A. F., Maraun, D., and Vrac, M. (2018). “Soil moisture drought in Europe: a compound event of precipitation and potential evapotranspiration on multiple timescales”. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19(8), 1255-1271, DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0017.1.
2017
Bevacqua, E., Maraun, D., Haff, I. H., Widmann, M., and Vrac, M. (2017). “Multivariate statistical modelling of compound events via pair-copula constructions: analysis of floods in Ravenna (Italy)”. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21, 2701-2723, DOI: 10.5194/hess-21-2701-2017.
2014 (outcome of Bachelor Thesis)
Alberti, T., Lepreti, F., Vecchio, A., Bevacqua, E., Capparelli, V., and Carbone, V. (2014). “Natural periodicities and Northern Hemisphere–Southern Hemisphere connection of fast temperature changes during the last glacial period: EPICA and NGRIP revisited”. Climate of the Past, 10, 1751-1762, DOI: 10.5194/cp-10-1751-2014.
Software package and Dataset
Ribeiro, A. F. S., Vignotto, E., van der Wiel, K., Zhang, T., Rivoire, P., Bevacqua, E., and Zscheischler, J. (2021). “A large-ensemble simulation of yields and meteorological drivers to evaluate spatial compounding crop failures in Europe”, [Data set], Zenodo, DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.5113280.
Bevacqua, E., Watson, P., Sparrow, S., and Wallom, D. (2020). “Multi-thousand-year simulations of December-February precipitation and zonal upper-level wind”, (Version 1.0.0) [Data set], Zenodo, DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4311221.
Bevacqua, E. (2017). “CDVineCopulaConditional: an R package for conditional sampling from multivariate copula decomposed via C- or D-vines”. R-package, DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.28442.85445.
PhD Thesis
Bevacqua, E. (2018). “Multivariate statistical modelling and analysis of compound events“. PhD thesis, University of Graz, Graz, Austria.